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#China: "This pattern of deep reluctance to change the status quo, followed by rapid policy changes when Xi himself changes his mind, might continue to drive policy."
From https://twitter.com/tom_kellogg/status/1610364929697013765 :
There is now only one path to power, and it runs thru Xi himself. Factional politics in prior eras meant that mid-level cadres in different parts of the system had at least some chance at advancement to a top job in #Beijing.
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#communityGovernance #decisionMaking #powerSharing #orgGovernance #orgDev
Victor Shih argues that the multiple pathways to #power were incentives for policy innovation: a way for would-be top leaders to get noticed, and thus promoted.
#Xi calling most of the shots creates incentives for mid-level cadres to sit on their hands, and wait for signals from Xi himself. Hence a disastrous about-face on Zero Covid - no one could change anything until Xi told them to, and then they rushed to lift almost all restrictions.