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#polling

2 posts2 participants0 posts today
WYM Mod<p>Polling can be misleading—are pundits misreading public opinion? Paul Krugman interviews **G. Elliott Morris**, who reveals how the "pundit's fallacy" skews insights on voters. By relying on data, not instincts, Morris explains the impact of dissatisfaction on recent elections and emphasizes understanding economic sentiments over simplistic narratives. For deeper insights, check out the full discussion [here](<a href="https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/a-conversation-with-g-elliott-morris" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">paulkrugman.substack.com/p/a-c</span><span class="invisible">onversation-with-g-elliott-morris</span></a>). <a href="https://mastodon.vtip.me/tags/Polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Polling</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.vtip.me/tags/PublicOpinion" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>PublicOpinion</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.vtip.me/tags/Politics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Politics</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.vtip.me/tags/DataDriven" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>DataDriven</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.vtip.me/tags/ElectionInsights" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ElectionInsights</span></a></p>
Morpheus Being<p><a href="https://aus.social/tags/auspol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>auspol</span></a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/election2025" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>election2025</span></a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/Dickson" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Dickson</span></a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/Dutton" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Dutton</span></a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/Polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Polling</span></a></p><p>I hope the polls are correct and Labour candidate wins easily!</p><p><a href="https://www.thenewdaily.com.au/news/politics/australian-politics/federal-election-2025/2025/04/12/dutton-electoral-seat-poll" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">thenewdaily.com.au/news/politi</span><span class="invisible">cs/australian-politics/federal-election-2025/2025/04/12/dutton-electoral-seat-poll</span></a></p>
Daniel Dvorkin<p>For the first time since the start of his second term, <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Trump" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Trump</span></a> hit 50% <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/disapproval" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>disapproval</span></a> in <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/VoteHub" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>VoteHub</span></a>'s <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/aggregation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>aggregation</span></a> today. <a href="https://votehub.com/polls/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">votehub.com/polls/</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p><p>Presidents have come back from this. <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Reagan" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Reagan</span></a> bottomed out at something like 30% early in his first term, and then of course won re-election in a landslide. But Trump doesn't have that kind of political acumen.</p><p>If we have anything resembling a fair <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/election" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>election</span></a>, 2026 will be a bloodbath, and I'm willing to bet 2028 as well. If we don't, well, it will be a bloodbath of a different kind.</p>
MugsysRapSheet 🔩🐑🐘<p>Some of the latest <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a>/#polls:</p>
gentlegardener<p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://hachyderm.io/@rberger" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@<span>rberger</span></a></span> </p><p>Pinned to my profile, the numbers:</p><p>America is divided in 4 parts:<br>340.1m total july24<br> 95.4m Not eligible to <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/vote" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>vote</span></a> under 18 + others 28.1%<br> 89.5m Eligible did not <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/vote" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>vote</span></a> 26.2%<br> 77.3m TrumpVance 22.7%<br> 75.0m <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/HarrisWalz" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>HarrisWalz</span></a> 22.1%<br> 2.9m other none of above 0.9%<br> Sources us census, UFelectionlab, FEC</p><p>All <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/projections" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>projections</span></a> from <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> should reflect the total pop as denominator or disclose who is disregarded</p>
CBC Manitoba<p>Making sense of opinion polls this federal election<br>With federal party leaders on the campaign trail, pollsters are closely tracking who Canadians plan to support with their vote. CBC Ppoll analyst Eric Grenier helps makes sense of opinion polls and their accuracy.<br><a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/politics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>politics</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/election" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>election</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <br><a href="https://www.cbc.ca/player/play/9.6712884?cmp=rss" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">cbc.ca/player/play/9.6712884?c</span><span class="invisible">mp=rss</span></a></p>
Geriatric Gardener<p>“Labour falls to DISTANT 3rd place in latest <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Westminster" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Westminster</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a>”</p><p>by Skwawkbox <span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://mastodon.social/@skwawkbox" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@<span>skwawkbox</span></a></span> <span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://mastodon.cloud/@UKLabour" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@<span>UKLabour</span></a></span> </p><p>“If Starmer is trying to take the <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/UK" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>UK</span></a> into <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/fascism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>fascism</span></a>, we may have found the one thing he’s good at – 13 Cabinet ministers set to lose seats”</p><p><a href="https://skwawkbox.org/2025/04/02/labour-falls-to-distant-3rd-place-in-latest-westminster-polling/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">skwawkbox.org/2025/04/02/labou</span><span class="invisible">r-falls-to-distant-3rd-place-in-latest-westminster-polling/</span></a></p><p><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Press" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Press</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Labour" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Labour</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Austerity" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Austerity</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/WFA" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>WFA</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Reeves" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Reeves</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Starmer" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Starmer</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/BenefitsHarmer" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>BenefitsHarmer</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Streeting" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Streeting</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/RachelThieves" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>RachelThieves</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/FreezeAndStarve" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>FreezeAndStarve</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/TwoChildBenefitCap" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TwoChildBenefitCap</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/ChildPoverty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ChildPoverty</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Genocide" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Genocide</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Complicity" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Complicity</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Authoritarian" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Authoritarian</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Hypocrisy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Hypocrisy</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Lies" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Lies</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/ToryContinuityParty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ToryContinuityParty</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/KidStarver" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>KidStarver</span></a></p>
Charming Malcontent<p>BREAKING: <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Elmo" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Elmo</span></a> the <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/SpaceNazi" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>SpaceNazi</span></a> has paid local <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/nazis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>nazis</span></a> to steal <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ballots" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ballots</span></a> from SEVEN <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Wisconsin" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Wisconsin</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> stations who have reported they have "ran out of ballot papers"</p>
Europe Says<p><a href="https://www.europesays.com/1961289/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="">europesays.com/1961289/</span><span class="invisible"></span></a> Polls On The US And EU In Europe <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/DonaldTrump" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>DonaldTrump</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/europe" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>europe</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/EuropeanUnion" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>EuropeanUnion</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/PublicOpinion" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>PublicOpinion</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/tariffs" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>tariffs</span></a></p>
A.Stringer<p>"It is absolutely right to emphasize the importance of respecting <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/voters" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>voters</span></a>, and try to understand them, rather than assuming that those who disagree with you are stupid or racist. But voters are not going to tell you how to <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/govern" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>govern</span></a> the country. It is not their job. Relying on their opinions to try to deduce what to do leads not only to incoherence, but to a negative loop."</p><p><a href="https://samf.substack.com/p/the-rise-of-the-gurus?r=72szy&amp;utm_campaign=post&amp;utm_medium=web&amp;triedRedirect=true" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">samf.substack.com/p/the-rise-o</span><span class="invisible">f-the-gurus?r=72szy&amp;utm_campaign=post&amp;utm_medium=web&amp;triedRedirect=true</span></a></p><p><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/UKpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>UKpol</span></a><br><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/MorganMcSweeney" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>MorganMcSweeney</span></a><br><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/keirstarmer" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>keirstarmer</span></a> <br><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <br><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/governing" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>governing</span></a><br><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/PoliticalLeadership" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>PoliticalLeadership</span></a> <br><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/politicalbeliefs" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>politicalbeliefs</span></a></p>
Paul Houle<p>🪓 Divided Electorate Tells Tale of Two Cities Ahead of Mayoral Election</p><p><a href="https://www.thecity.nyc/2025/03/12/mayor-election-candidates-voters/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">thecity.nyc/2025/03/12/mayor-e</span><span class="invisible">lection-candidates-voters/</span></a></p><p><a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/nyc" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>nyc</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/politics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>politics</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/survey" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>survey</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/politicalscience" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>politicalscience</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/socialscience" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>socialscience</span></a></p>
CBC Canada<p>Canadians alarmed by text messages asking their vote preference. Then their postal code. Then their name<br>The Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), a polling industry association, has received numerous complaints about these text-message tactics&nbsp;from ERG National Research.<br><a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/politics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>politics</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/election" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>election</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/privacy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>privacy</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/News" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>News</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/Canada" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Canada</span></a><br><a href="https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/erg-national-research-text-polling-complaints-cric-1.7494941?cmp=rss" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/erg</span><span class="invisible">-national-research-text-polling-complaints-cric-1.7494941?cmp=rss</span></a></p>
CBC British Columbia<p>Canadians alarmed by text messages asking their vote preference. Then their postal code. Then their name<br>The Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), a polling industry association, has received numerous complaints about these text-message tactics&nbsp;from ERG National Research.<br><a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/politics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>politics</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/election" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>election</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/privacy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>privacy</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/News" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>News</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/Canada" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Canada</span></a><br><a href="https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/erg-national-research-text-polling-complaints-cric-1.7494941?cmp=rss" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/erg</span><span class="invisible">-national-research-text-polling-complaints-cric-1.7494941?cmp=rss</span></a></p>
Amgine<p>I ran across another appeal from "Cooperate for Canada" to ignore one's political beliefs and instead vote for whoever Fournier thinks is the biggest risk to the CPC candidate.</p><p>So I decided to take a deeper look at this group, their concept, and their actions.</p><p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://mstdn.social/@leftylabourtech" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@<span>leftylabourtech</span></a></span></p><p>1/</p><p><a href="https://mamot.fr/tags/cdnpoli" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>cdnpoli</span></a> <a href="https://mamot.fr/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <a href="https://mamot.fr/tags/elxn45" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>elxn45</span></a></p>
A.Stringer<p>"how can <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/politicians" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>politicians</span></a> tell voters the truth about what may have to change, if <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/voters" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>voters</span></a> don’t understand the basics of how things work at the moment?"</p><p><a href="https://taxpolicy.org.uk/2024/10/26/the-publics-surprising-choice-of-tax-increase-and-why-we-should-ignore-it/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">taxpolicy.org.uk/2024/10/26/th</span><span class="invisible">e-publics-surprising-choice-of-tax-increase-and-why-we-should-ignore-it/</span></a></p><p><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/taxpolicy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>taxpolicy</span></a> <br><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/taxes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>taxes</span></a><br><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/economy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>economy</span></a><br><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/springbudget" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>springbudget</span></a> <br><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/UKpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>UKpol</span></a><br><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/understandingtaxes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>understandingtaxes</span></a><br><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <br><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/pollinglimitations" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>pollinglimitations</span></a><br><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/taxrises" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>taxrises</span></a></p>
CBC British Columbia<p>Political polls are hitting overdrive. Here's a quick guide to understanding them<br>Ahead of a federal election campaign, CBC's The House speaks to two poll analysts who explain why political polls matter and how Canadians should interpret their findings.<br><a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/politics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>politics</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/election" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>election</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/News" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>News</span></a> <br><a href="https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/political-polls-explained-1.7489983?cmp=rss" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">cbc.ca/news/politics/political</span><span class="invisible">-polls-explained-1.7489983?cmp=rss</span></a></p>
gentlegardener<p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://mastodon.scot/@IndyRichard" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@<span>IndyRichard</span></a></span> America is divided in 4 parts:<br>340.1m total july24<br> 95.4m Not eligible to <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/vote" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>vote</span></a> under 18 + others 28.1%<br> 89.5m Eligible did not <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/vote" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>vote</span></a> 26.2%<br> 77.3m TrumpVance 22.7%<br> 75.0m <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/HarrisWalz" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>HarrisWalz</span></a> 22.1%<br> 2.9m other none of above 0.9%<br> Sources us census, UFelectionlab, FEC</p><p>All <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/projections" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>projections</span></a> from <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> should reflect the total pop as denominator or disclose who is disregarded</p>
CBC British Columbia<p>Improved Liberal fortunes in B.C. under Carney come at the expense of the federal NDP, polls show<br>With many expecting Prime Minister Mark Carney to call a federal election soon,&nbsp;new polling shows the federal Liberals gaining ground on Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives.&nbsp;<br><a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/politics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>politics</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/election" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>election</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/BC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>BC</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/News" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>News</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/Canada" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Canada</span></a><br><a href="https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/liberal-surge-steals-npd-support-1.7487862?cmp=rss" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">cbc.ca/news/canada/british-col</span><span class="invisible">umbia/liberal-surge-steals-npd-support-1.7487862?cmp=rss</span></a></p>
gentlegardener<p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://universeodon.com/@Sfwmson" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@<span>Sfwmson</span></a></span> <span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://toot.community/@peachfront" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@<span>peachfront</span></a></span> <br>Prioritize. We need you this year in <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/virginia" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>virginia</span></a>, a healthier democracy.</p><p>America is divided in 4 parts:<br>340.1m total july24<br> 95.4m Not eligible to <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/vote" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>vote</span></a> under 18 + others 28.1%<br> 89.5m Eligible did not <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/vote" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>vote</span></a> 26.2%<br> 77.3m TrumpVance 22.7%<br> 75.0m <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/HarrisWalz" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>HarrisWalz</span></a> 22.1%<br> 2.9m other none of above 0.9%<br> Sources us census, UFelectionlab, FEC<br>All <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/projections" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>projections</span></a> from <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> should reflect the total pop as denominator or disclose who is disregarded</p>
Global News Politics<p>Liberals widen lead over Tories under Carney, Ipsos poll shows<br>Prime Minister Mark Carney's leadership has sparked a surge in Liberal party support, with new Ipsos polling showing the Liberals widening their lead over the Conservatives.<br><a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/politics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>politics</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/election" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>election</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/Canada" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Canada</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/Conservatives" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Conservatives</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/LiberalParty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>LiberalParty</span></a><br><a href="https://globalnews.ca/news/11086378/mark-carney-liberals-lead-conservatives-ipsos/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">globalnews.ca/news/11086378/ma</span><span class="invisible">rk-carney-liberals-lead-conservatives-ipsos/</span></a></p>
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