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I'm not Bayesian or frequentist but a secret third thing.

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Hello Fediverse (and—thanks for having me)! I am a scientist, currently living in California and working outside academia in healthcare. My career has let me dabble in several disciplines; lately I’m focused on statistical and machine learning methods (I’m especially fond Bayesian approaches and the ecosystem). I’m also a fan of community-led, bottom-up democracy, which drew me to this Mastodon instance, and will likely talk about my family a lot.

Also 100% of my political opinions will be prefaced by "as a home owner..." now. Unless "as a parent..." is more appropriate. But definitely one or the other.

My spouse and I have bought a house (heaven help me), which means that this account is going to become even more basic. First off: how do people feel about "orange peel" walls? Not really to my taste but they feel apt in SoCal. Should we leave them intact or sand them down?

This is noteworthy because naive interpretations of frequentist CIs are actually closer to Bayesian posterior HDIs ("what is the probability that the value is in this region?"). Statisticians are quick to point out that these aren't the same... but they can be!

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Interesting post: the author finds the Bayesian priors required to produce posterior HDIs that are equivalent to frequentist CIs, and—at least in the case of samples from a normal distribution—these priors seem reasonable. (HT @alcinnz)

I can't drink my milk because I threw the cup on the floor again: a one year old's struggle.

Me eating spicy food again: Haha fuck yeah!!! Yes!!

Me needing to take antacid every night: Well this fucking sucks. What the fuck.

Eamon boosted

8-yo says pineapple Fanta is "the fanciest kind" of Fanta

If Los Angeles and New York are foils, then San Diego and Philadelphia are reflected about a second axis, occupying diametrically opposed quadrants in the plane.

Ah, the age-old question: "do I hold the 'fn' button down on this laptop's keyboard when I want to send function keys, or when I want to perform the functions printed on the keys?"

I feel like each of us has our own mental model about how careful "everyone else" is being about Covid, and all of those models are useless due to biases in the data we observe.

Eamon boosted

I think that a staff is a greatly underrated form factor for electronic gadgets. You have smartwatches for hikers, smart glasses for hikers, smart distraction rectangles, but no smart hiking sticks. But it's a perfect vehicle for sensors, battery, light, haptic feedback and maybe even a small display. It can fit a solid antenna. You can have a charging station next to your door.

I don't do any tracking on my website (I don't even look at the access logs, which I could do), but I think traffic has gone up a bit based on the charges from my web host. Either that or inflation has hit inexpensive web hosts too.

Eamon boosted
Internet: "The network allows for various kinds of protocols that y-"

Developers: "There is only HTTP"

HTTP: "You can formulate all kind of requests using GET, POST, PUT, DELE-"

Developers: "There is only POST"

Eamon boosted

@DCLXVI I would love to be able to track changes in steps, sleep, and resting heart rate without sending my data to a surveillance advertising company.

Eamon boosted

Could you please just turn off your comment section? At this point the only people who scroll down there are rage farmers or spammers of some stripe.

I had comments on my (rather well trafficed) blog for a dozen years. There was one (1!) post that had useful community contributions, and they were all obsolete within a year.

Support a healthier internet and turn off comments.

In theory, some household items could be programmed to save more energy than is consumed by the creation of the microcontrollers necessary to do so. In practice, "smart" devices are "send your data to advertisers" devices, and I genuinely don't understand why people buy them.

Signal is blocked in Iran at the moment also. But here is Signal asking people to run proxy servers to help people get around the block:

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Eamon boosted

an abstract that does not Fuck Around
(image repeated to fit it all in alt text)

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Eamon boosted

@eamon I think Signal is the ideal group chat even for people that don't care about privacy! There's a number of features that the other alternatives don't all have.

In light of the news about WhatsApp blocking accounts in Iran in the face of protest, please:
• Stop using WhatsApp and just use Signal instead (get your whole group chat to move over, it'll be fine)
• Install Briar and set up an account just in case (if you use Android)

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A Fediverse instance for people interested in cooperative and collective projects.