Futurist Jim Carroll<p>Daily Inspiration: "Sometimes you need not be right - you just need to be bold!" - Futurist Jim Carroll</p><p>Welcome to 2025!</p><p>Back in 2014, I wrote a series of predictions about 2025 - in a document titled, of all things, '25 Trends for 2025'. (Intuitive!) At the time I wrote it, most of the news media were busy, as they are every year, contacting futurists, trend forecasters, and guys like me to bang together their year-end articles about "what comes next? It's at <a href="https://2025.jimcarroll.com" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">2025.jimcarroll.com</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p><p>When I put together this particular trends document in 2014, it was a rather hurried affair and reflected much of what I was talking about at various events throughout the year earlier. As a result, it wasn't something very comprehensive - it was just a grab bag of stuff. And my goal wasn't just to predict the future - it was to demonstrate how we should think about it. It goes right to the heart of the observation by Bill Gates: "People tend to overestimate what will happen in two years and underestimate what will happen in ten."</p><p>I thought it might be fun to go back, take a look at each prediction, and then see how I did. I enlisted Claude.AI to help me in this process and asked it to give me a grade for each prediction.</p><p>Read the post for the analysis of each of the 25 trends.</p><p>Out of 24 verifiable predictions:</p><p>Correct: 4 (16.7%)<br>Somewhat Correct: 10 (41.7%)<br>Didn't Happen: 8 (33.3%)<br>Ridiculous: 1 (4.2%)<br>Unknown: 1 (4.2%)</p><p>"Carroll's predictions were most accurate in areas of technological advancement, particularly in healthcare, agriculture, and digital transformation. </p><p>So what's the point of all this?</p><p>The real value in futurism isn't about getting predictions exactly right - it's about developing frameworks for thinking about what's next. When I look at those 2014 predictions now, I see the methodology that still guides my work today:</p><p>The key isn't to predict the future perfectly - sometimes, it's just about being bold enough to try to predict it!</p><p><a href="https://futurist.info/tags/Predictions" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Predictions</span></a>** **<a href="https://futurist.info/tags/Future" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Future</span></a>** **<a href="https://futurist.info/tags/Innovation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Innovation</span></a>** **<a href="https://futurist.info/tags/Foresight" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Foresight</span></a>** **<a href="https://futurist.info/tags/Analysis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Analysis</span></a>** **<a href="https://futurist.info/tags/Trends" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Trends</span></a>** **<a href="https://futurist.info/tags/Vision" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Vision</span></a>** **<a href="https://futurist.info/tags/Growth" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Growth</span></a>** **<a href="https://futurist.info/tags/Technology" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Technology</span></a>** **<a href="https://futurist.info/tags/Progress" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Progress</span></a></p><p>---</p><p>Original post: <a href="https://jimcarroll.com/2025/01/daily-inspiration-grading-my-2014-predictions-about-2025-sometimes-you-need-not-be-right-you-just-need-to-be-bold/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">jimcarroll.com/2025/01/daily-i</span><span class="invisible">nspiration-grading-my-2014-predictions-about-2025-sometimes-you-need-not-be-right-you-just-need-to-be-bold/</span></a></p>